Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?" at 2.5%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
–2%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $115KLiquidity $22Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
2.45%
–

Probability over time

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.