Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?" at 4.8%. Down 0.7%p from yesterday. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
0.75%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $20KLiquidity $30Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
4.80%
0.7

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.