TX-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 26.5% on "TX-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $760 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲0.527%
PoliticsVol $760Total volume $8.1KLiquidity $95Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
26.5%
▲0.5
Republican 20-25%
18.5%
▼4.5
Republican 10-15%
18.0%
▲1.0
Republican 25-30%
17.0%
▼14.0
Republican 5-10%
13.0%
▼0.5
Republican 35%+
9.15%
–
Republican 30-35%
2.20%
–
Republican 0-5%
1.75%
▼0.7
Democrat Wins
0.20%
–

Probability over time

Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 35%+
02550751008/259/79/149/219/2810/510/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.