TX-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 37.5% on "TX-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 10.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▲10.538%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $220Liquidity $9.8Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
37.5%
▲10.5
Republican 20-25%
36.5%
▲10.5
Republican 0-5%
27.5%
▼3.0
Republican 35%+
27.0%
▼5.5
Republican 5-10%
27.0%
▼5.5
Republican 10-15%
24.0%
▼8.0
Republican 15-20%
23.0%
▼4.0
Republican 30-35%
17.5%
▼8.0
Democrat Wins
8.50%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 35%+
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
