TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 34.4% on "TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.8%p from yesterday. $486 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲5.834%
PoliticsVol $486Total volume $14KLiquidity $89Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
34.4%
▲5.8
Republican 25-30%
21.1%
▼8.9
Republican 15-20%
16.0%
▲1.0
Republican 30-35%
15.7%
▼3.3
Republican 35-40%
15.2%
▲7.1
Republican 5-15%
4.55%
–
Republican 40-45%
4.40%
▼0.5
Republican 0-5%
3.40%
–
Democrat Wins
1.45%
–
Republican 45%+
1.05%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 5-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
