TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 45%+" at 32.0% on "TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 45%+
▲5.032%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $243Liquidity $9.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 45%+
32.0%
▲5.0
Republican 40-45%
32.0%
▲5.0
Republican 35-40%
27.0%
▲6.5
Republican 25-30%
25.0%
▲4.0
Republican 5-15%
25.0%
▲4.5
Republican 15-20%
24.0%
▼5.5
Republican 20-25%
23.5%
▼5.0
Republican 0-5%
22.0%
▼7.5
Democrat Wins
3.75%
–
Probability over time
Republican 45%+
Republican 40-45%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 5-15%
Republican 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
