TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 34.5% on "TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▲4.535%
PoliticsVol $1.5KTotal volume $12KLiquidity $139Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
34.5%
▲4.5
Republican 30-35%
33.5%
▲13.0
Republican 40-45%
19.5%
▼7.0
Republican 25-30%
12.5%
▼5.1
Republican 45-50%
6.05%
▼0.8
Republican 0-15%
4.00%
–
Republican 15-25%
3.40%
–
Republican 55%+
2.55%
–
Republican 50-55%
1.40%
–
Democrat Wins
0.25%
–

Probability over time

Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 0-15%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.