TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 50-55%" at 37.0% on "TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 50-55%
7.037%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $240Liquidity $2.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 50-55%
37.0%
7.0
Republican 35-40%
35.5%
5.5
Republican 25-30%
32.5%
9.5
Republican 15-25%
32.5%
9.5
Republican 45-50%
32.0%
9.5
Republican 0-15%
28.5%
7.0
Republican 55%+
27.0%
1.0
Republican 30-35%
27.0%
1.0
Republican 40-45%
26.5%
4.0
Democrat Wins
5.00%
1.0

Probability over time

Republican 50-55%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-25%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 0-15%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.