TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 30.5% on "TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▼0.531%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $74Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
30.5%
▼0.5
Republican 5-10%
30.5%
▼1.5
Republican 25-30%
30.0%
▼1.0
Republican 35%+
29.0%
▼2.0
Republican 20-25%
25.5%
▼2.0
Republican 15-20%
25.0%
▼1.0
Republican 0-5%
22.5%
▼3.5
Republican 30-35%
22.0%
▼3.5
Democrat Wins
6.00%
▼2.0
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35%+
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
