TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 32.5% on "TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. $619 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲6.033%
PoliticsVol $619Total volume $7.7KLiquidity $136Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
32.5%
▲6.0
Republican 10-15%
26.0%
▼2.5
Republican 5-10%
21.5%
▲1.5
Republican 20-25%
14.4%
▼6.8
Republican 0-5%
5.60%
–
Republican 30-35%
3.90%
–
Democrat Wins
3.10%
▼1.2
Republican 25-30%
2.95%
▼1.2
Republican 35%+
2.50%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
