TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 24.0% on "TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▲4.524%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $6.5KLiquidity $135Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
24.0%
▲4.5
Democrat 45-50%
20.5%
–
Democrat 50-55%
20.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 40-45%
18.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 60%+
11.5%
▲1.3
Democrat 55-60%
5.15%
▲0.7
Democrat 30-35%
4.65%
▲0.6
Democrat 20-30%
3.50%
–
Democrat 0-20%
0.60%
–
Republican Wins
0.35%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 55-60%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
