TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 30.5% on "TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▲3.031%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
30.5%
▲3.0
Democrat 20-30%
30.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 50-55%
29.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 0-20%
29.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 45-50%
28.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 30-35%
26.5%
▼9.5
Democrat 60%+
26.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 55-60%
25.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 35-40%
23.0%
▼8.0
Republican Wins
17.5%
▲14.1
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 20-30%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 0-20%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
