TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 3-6%" at 35.0% on "TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 3-6%
5.535%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $98Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 3-6%
35.0%
5.5
Republican 9-12%
30.0%
5.0
Democrat 12%+
27.0%
1.0
Republican 6-9%
23.5%
4.5
Republican 3-6%
23.0%
3.0
Democrat 0-3%
21.0%
2.0
Democrat 6-9%
20.5%
1.0
Republican 12%+
20.0%
2.5
Republican 0-3%
19.0%
0.5
Democrat 9-12%
16.5%
5.0

Probability over time

Democrat 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
Democrat 12%+
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.