TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 3-6%" at 20.0% on "TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 3-6%
▼1.020%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $11KLiquidity $130Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 3-6%
20.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-3%
19.9%
–
Republican 0-3%
16.6%
–
Democrat 6-9%
16.5%
–
Republican 3-6%
15.0%
▲4.5
Democrat 12%+
5.10%
▼29.1
Republican 6-9%
4.90%
–
Democrat 9-12%
4.50%
–
Republican 12%+
3.00%
–
Republican 9-12%
0.15%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 12%+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.