UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?" at 3.3%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
–3%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $118KLiquidity $32Kin 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
3.25%
–

Probability over time

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.