Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

Polymarket traders put "Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?" at 0.5%. Unchanged from yesterday. $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Aug 31.

Most likely right now
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
1%
PoliticsVol $2.0KTotal volume $30KLiquidity $36Kin 5 days (Aug 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
0.55%

Probability over time

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.