Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 18.0% on "Ukraine coup attempt by...?". Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $268 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
▲9.518%
PoliticsVol $268Total volume $171KLiquidity $73KComments 1in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
18.0%
▲9.5
December 31, 2026
4.20%
▲0.6

Probability over time

December 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.