U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? " at 3.6%. Unchanged from yesterday. $55 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
–4%
PoliticsVol $55Total volume $40KLiquidity $14Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
3.65%
–

Probability over time

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.