U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? " at 8.5%. $11 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
9%
PoliticsVol $11Total volume $32KLiquidity $15Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
8.50%

Probability over time

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.