US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 35.0% on "US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $756 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▲1.035%
PoliticsVol $756Total volume $243KLiquidity $50KComments 3in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
35.0%
▲1.0
November 30
24.5%
▲1.0
October 31
8.70%
▼0.9

Probability over time

December 31
November 30
October 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.