US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
Polymarket traders put "US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?" at 5.1%. Up 1.7%p from yesterday. $11 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
▲1.75%
PoliticsVol $11Total volume $2.4KLiquidity $9.5Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
5.15%
▲1.7
Probability over time
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
