US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?" at 7.0%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
–7%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $5.3KLiquidity $1.2Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
7.00%
–

Probability over time

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.