US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

Polymarket traders put "US imports Russian diesel by October 31?" at 36.5%. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
–37%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $2Liquidity $672in 22 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
36.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.