US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 14.5% on "US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $42K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲1.014%
PoliticsVol $42KTotal volume $19.7MLiquidity $359KComments 160in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
14.5%
▲1.0
November 30
8.50%
–
October 31
2.75%
–
Probability over time
December 31
November 30
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
