US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
Polymarket traders put "September 30" at 17.5% on "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $69K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.
Most likely right now
September 30
▲0.518%
PoliticsVol $69KTotal volume $743KLiquidity $98KComments 8in 1 months (Oct 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
September 30
17.5%
▲0.5
September 15
10.5%
▲2.5
August 31
3.40%
▲1.3
Probability over time
September 30
September 15
August 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
