US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 37.5% on "US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?". Down 9.0%p from yesterday. $249 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼9.038%
PoliticsVol $249Total volume $53KLiquidity $1.2KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
37.5%
▼9.0
October 31
10.5%
▲0.5

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.