U.S. nuclear test by...?
Polymarket traders put "U.S. nuclear test by...?" at 3.9%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
–4%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $801KLiquidity $34KComments 24in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
3.90%
–
Probability over time
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
