U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" at 2.6%. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
–3%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $180KLiquidity $23Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
2.60%
–

Probability over time

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.