US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?" at 2.9%. Unchanged from yesterday. $68 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
–3%
PoliticsVol $68Total volume $641KLiquidity $26KComments 25in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
2.90%
–
Probability over time
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-13 · y-axis %
