US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?" at 4.8%. Unchanged from yesterday. $147 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
–5%
PoliticsVol $147Total volume $632KLiquidity $29KComments 25in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
4.75%
–
Probability over time
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
