U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? " at 5.3%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
–5%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $75KLiquidity $14Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
5.30%
–
Probability over time
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
