U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? " at 3.5%. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
–4%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $75KLiquidity $16Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
3.50%
–
Probability over time
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
