US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

Polymarket traders put "US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?" at 7.5%. Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $494 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
▼2.08%
PoliticsVol $494Total volume $416KLiquidity $21KComments 6in 20 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
7.50%
▼2.0

Probability over time

October 31
02550751009/99/159/219/2710/310/910/12
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-10-12 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.