US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 50.5% on "US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?". $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
51%
EconomyVol $40Total volume $40Liquidity $14Kin 1.3 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
50.5%
December 31, 2026
7.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.