US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

Polymarket traders put "September 25" at 75.5% on "US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?". $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
September 25
76%
PoliticsVol $2.6KTotal volume $2.6KLiquidity $3.2Kin 1 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Sep 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 25
75.5%
September 22
68.5%
September 30
66.0%
October 31
57.5%
October 9
48.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.