US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 91.5% on "US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. $19K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
November 30
▲6.092%
PoliticsVol $19KTotal volume $2.6MLiquidity $12KComments 11in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
91.5%
▲6.0
December 31
78.5%
▲15.5

Probability over time

November 30
December 31
025507510010/1410/1810/2210/2610/3011/311/5
2026-10-14 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.