VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 28.5% on "VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $113 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
▲1.028%
PoliticsVol $113Total volume $15KLiquidity $70Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
28.5%
▲1.0
Republican 50-55%
19.1%
▲15.8
Republican 25-30%
18.1%
–
Republican 15-25%
14.4%
▲1.5
Republican 35-40%
8.50%
▲2.0
Republican 40-45%
5.80%
▼3.7
Republican 45-50%
4.90%
–
Republican 55%+
4.55%
▲0.6
Republican 0-15%
4.50%
▼0.8
Democrat Wins
0.35%
–
Probability over time
Republican 30-35%
Republican 50-55%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-25%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
