VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40-45%" at 33.0% on "VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 13.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 40-45%
▲13.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $22Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40-45%
33.0%
▲13.0
Republican 45-50%
32.5%
▲11.0
Republican 15-25%
32.5%
▲9.5
Republican 50-55%
26.5%
▲6.5
Republican 30-35%
26.0%
▲3.0
Republican 35-40%
25.5%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
25.5%
–
Republican 0-15%
25.5%
▼0.5
Republican 55%+
24.5%
▲6.0
Democrat Wins
17.5%
▲12.5
Probability over time
Republican 40-45%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 15-25%
Republican 50-55%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
