VA-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 39.5% on "VA-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $77 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▼0.540%
PoliticsVol $77Total volume $294Liquidity $1.9Kin 15 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
39.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 50%+
38.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 25-30%
38.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 40-45%
37.5%
–
Democrat 45-50%
37.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 30-35%
37.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-10%
37.0%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
19.7%
▼16.9
Democrat 20-25%
8.50%
–
Democrat 10-20%
7.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 50%+
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 30-35%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-19 · y-axis %
