Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Polymarket traders put "Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?" at 7.5%. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
8%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $17KLiquidity $12Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
7.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.