Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Polymarket traders put "Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?" at 5.5%. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
–6%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $19KLiquidity $13Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
5.50%
–

Probability over time

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.