Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "↓ 30%" at 58.0% on "Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?". $340 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
↓ 30%
–58%
PoliticsVol $340Total volume $340Liquidity $52Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↓ 30%
58.0%
–
↑ 40%
45.5%
–
↓ 25%
38.5%
–
↑ 45%
19.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
