Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Nicolás Maduro" at 85.3% on "Venezuela leader end of 2026?". Unchanged from yesterday. $29K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Nicolás Maduro
–85%
PoliticsVol $29KTotal volume $95.8MLiquidity $1.9MComments 374in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Nicolás Maduro
85.3%
–
Delcy Rodríguez
9.50%
–
María Corina Machado
2.20%
–
No Head of State
1.25%
–
Edmundo González
0.35%
–
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
0.30%
–
Vladimir Padrino López
0.20%
–
Jorge Rodríguez
0.20%
–
Dinorah Figuera
0.15%
–
Donald Trump
0.15%
–
Marco Rubio
0.15%
–
Pete Hegseth
0.15%
–
Evan Pettus
0.15%
–
Frank Donovan
0.15%
–
Dan Caine
0.05%
–
Richard Grenell
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Nicolás Maduro
Delcy Rodríguez
María Corina Machado
No Head of State
Edmundo González
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
