Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Nicolás Maduro" at 71.4% on "Venezuela leader end of 2026?". Unchanged from yesterday. $18K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Nicolás Maduro
–71%
PoliticsVol $18KTotal volume $98.1MLiquidity $2.3MComments 483in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Nicolás Maduro
71.4%
–
Delcy Rodríguez
24.5%
▼1.0
No Head of State
2.40%
–
María Corina Machado
0.65%
▼0.5
Jorge Rodríguez
0.30%
–
Edmundo González
0.25%
–
Marco Rubio
0.15%
–
Pete Hegseth
0.15%
–
Frank Donovan
0.15%
–
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
0.05%
–
Dinorah Figuera
0.05%
–
Donald Trump
0.05%
–
Vladimir Padrino López
0.05%
–
Evan Pettus
0.05%
–
Dan Caine
0.05%
–
Richard Grenell
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Nicolás Maduro
Delcy Rodríguez
No Head of State
María Corina Machado
Jorge Rodríguez
Edmundo González
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
