WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35%+" at 38.5% on "WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 35%+
–39%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $922in 25 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35%+
38.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
38.5%
▲0.5
Republican 5-10%
38.5%
▲0.5
Republican 25-30%
38.0%
▼0.5
Republican 15-20%
38.0%
–
Republican 10-15%
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat Wins
37.5%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Republican 35%+
Republican 30-35%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
