WA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 29.0% on "WA-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 15.5%p from yesterday. $45 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▼15.529%
PoliticsVol $45Total volume $211Liquidity $1.2Kin 8 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
29.0%
▼15.5
Republican 5%+
7.45%
▼32.3
Republican 0-5%
7.25%
▼29.2

Probability over time

Democrat 15-20%
Republican 5%+
Republican 0-5%
02550751009/119/2310/510/1110/1710/2310/26
2026-09-11 ~ 2026-10-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.