What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Most likely right now
Iran Reconstruction Funding
▼5.013%
PoliticsVol $8.3KTotal volume $692KLiquidity $207KComments 8in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Iran Reconstruction Funding
12.5%
▼5.0
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
10.5%
▲1.0
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
10.0%
▼0.5
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
9.50%
–
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
9.50%
▼1.0
Enriched Uranium Surrender
8.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
