When will Trump leave China?
Polymarket traders put "November 19" at 66.0% on "When will Trump leave China?". $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 23.
Most likely right now
November 19
–66%
PoliticsVol $1.7KTotal volume $1.7KLiquidity $21Kin 11 days (Nov 23)
Current probability
Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 19
66.0%
–
November 20
17.5%
–
November 18
6.50%
–
No visit by November 22
3.95%
–
November 21
3.05%
–
November 22
1.90%
–
After November 22
1.15%
–
Before November 18
1.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
