Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

Polymarket traders put "UAE" at 32.5% on "Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?". $7.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 29 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
UAE
–33%
PoliticsVol $7.6KTotal volume $7.6KLiquidity $271Kin 1.3 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
UAE
32.5%
–
No Talks by December 31, 2027
18.5%
–
Slovakia
18.2%
–
Ukraine
17.5%
–
Other - Europe
17.5%
–
Other
10.5%
–
Hungary
9.00%
–
Turkey
7.50%
–
Vatican City
6.05%
–
USA
5.00%
–
Serbia
5.00%
–
Qatar
4.95%
–
Switzerland
4.10%
–
Saudi Arabia
3.50%
–
Belarus
3.45%
–
Russia
2.55%
–
Germany
1.05%
–
China
0.65%
–
Italy
0.55%
–
Finland
0.55%
–
Kazakhstan
0.55%
–
India
0.55%
–
Poland
0.55%
–
Azerbaijan
0.55%
–
Egypt
0.55%
–
Brazil
0.55%
–
South Africa
0.55%
–
Other - Middle East/North Africa
0.55%
–
Austria
0.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.