Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
Polymarket traders put "USA" at 43.5% on "Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?". Up 30.5%p from yesterday. $17K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 19 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
USA
▲30.544%
PoliticsVol $17KTotal volume $17KLiquidity $124Kin 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Sep 24 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
USA
43.5%
▲30.5
No Meeting by December 31
27.5%
▲14.5
Switzerland
11.5%
▼1.5
Oman
9.00%
▼16.0
Qatar
9.00%
▼4.0
Austria
4.35%
▼8.6
Iran
4.05%
▼8.9
Turkey
3.80%
▼9.2
Other - Middle East/North Africa
3.65%
▼9.3
Pakistan
3.60%
▼8.4
UAE
3.45%
▼9.6
Iraq
3.20%
▼9.8
Italy
2.60%
▼8.9
Egypt
2.35%
▼10.7
Other - Europe
2.05%
▼10.9
Saudi Arabia
1.85%
▼11.2
Other
1.85%
▼11.2
Kazakhstan
1.15%
▼11.8
Russia
0.80%
▼12.2
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
