Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
Polymarket traders put "No Meeting by December 31" at 61.5% on "Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?". Up 7.5%p from yesterday. $4.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 19 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
No Meeting by December 31
▲7.562%
PoliticsVol $4.8KTotal volume $261KLiquidity $218Kin 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Nov 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No Meeting by December 31
61.5%
▲7.5
Qatar
15.1%
▼1.6
Switzerland
4.40%
–
Pakistan
3.70%
▲0.5
Turkey
3.50%
▼0.6
Austria
2.75%
–
UAE
2.70%
–
Russia
2.50%
–
USA
2.20%
▲0.5
Saudi Arabia
2.15%
▼0.7
Oman
1.85%
–
Other - Europe
1.40%
▼0.5
Other
1.35%
–
Italy
1.20%
–
Iran
1.05%
–
Egypt
1.00%
–
Kazakhstan
0.75%
–
Other - Middle East/North Africa
0.50%
–
Iraq
0.30%
▼1.5
Probability over time
No Meeting by December 31
Qatar
Switzerland
Pakistan
Turkey
Austria
2026-09-24 ~ 2026-11-09 · y-axis %
