Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "China" at 78.0% on "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $32K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
China
▲0.578%
PoliticsVol $32KTotal volume $1.8MLiquidity $639Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
China
78.0%
▲0.5
No meeting by December 31
18.5%
–
United States
2.20%
–
Gulf country
0.60%
–
Russia
0.50%
–
Turkey
0.30%
–
Switzerland
0.25%
–
Other
0.25%
–
Belarus
0.20%
–
Finland
0.15%
–
Other EU country
0.15%
–
South Korea
0.10%
–
Japan
0.10%
–
Australia
0.10%
–
Ukraine
0.05%
–
Probability over time
China
No meeting by December 31
United States
Gulf country
Russia
Turkey
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
