Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
Polymarket traders put "Mistral" at 29.0% on "Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?". $4.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
Mistral
–29%
TechVol $4.8KTotal volume $4.8KLiquidity $10KComments 1in 2 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Sep 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mistral
29.0%
–
SpaceXAI
16.5%
–
Microsoft
15.5%
–
Meta
15.5%
–
Amazon
14.0%
–
Google
13.5%
–
Anthropic
12.0%
–
Moonshot
11.5%
–
OpenAI
11.5%
–
Baidu
11.0%
–
DeepSeek
7.50%
–
Meituan
7.00%
–
ByteDance
7.00%
–
Alibaba
6.00%
–
Z.ai
6.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
