Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan" at 17.1% on "Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. $449 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
▲5.017%
PoliticsVol $449Total volume $187KLiquidity $53KComments 2in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
17.1%
▲5.0
Juan Reyes Mejía González
16.0%
▼6.0
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
14.5%
▲2.0
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
14.4%
▼1.8
Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez
11.0%
▼4.0
Juan Pablo Ledezma
10.5%
–
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
7.00%
▼1.5
Probability over time
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
Juan Reyes Mejía González
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez
Juan Pablo Ledezma
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
