Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "Druzkhivka" at 34.5% on "Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $4.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Druzkhivka
▼2.535%
PoliticsVol $4.8KTotal volume $1.7MLiquidity $61Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Druzkhivka
34.5%
▼2.5
Kramatorsk
15.5%
▼0.5
Sloviansk
11.5%
–
Sumy
3.80%
▼0.9
Zaporizhia
3.05%
–
Kherson
2.35%
–
Kharkiv
2.20%
–

Probability over time

Druzkhivka
Kramatorsk
Sloviansk
Sumy
Zaporizhia
Kherson
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.