Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
Polymarket traders put "S + MP" at 19.5% on "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. $9.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 1.
Most likely right now
S + MP
▼4.020%
PoliticsVol $9.6KTotal volume $153KLiquidity $238KComments 15in 9 months (Aug 1)
Current probability
Oct 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
S + MP
19.5%
▼4.0
S + MP + C + V
18.0%
▼1.0
S
17.0%
▼1.0
M + KD + L + C
14.2%
▲6.3
S + MP + C
13.2%
–
M + KD + L + SD
10.6%
▼0.8
M + KD + L
9.30%
▲1.1
S + MP + V
3.05%
–
S + C
1.55%
▲1.5
Other
1.40%
–
S + MP + C + KD
0.75%
–
M + KD
0.55%
▲0.5
M
0.50%
–
M + KD + SD
0.40%
–
M + SD
0.15%
–
S + MP + C + L
0.10%
–
S + C + V
0.05%
–
S + V
0.05%
–
S + MP + L
0.05%
–
S + M
0.05%
–
S + C + L
0.05%
–
Probability over time
S + MP
S + MP + C + V
S
M + KD + L + C
S + MP + C
M + KD + L + SD
2026-09-15 ~ 2026-10-30 · y-axis %
