Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
Polymarket traders put "S + MP + C" at 17.0% on "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 1.
Most likely right now
S + MP + C
–17%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $79KComments 1in 11 months (Aug 1)
Current probability
Sep 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
S + MP + C
17.0%
–
M + KD + L + SD
13.0%
–
Other
13.0%
–
S + MP + C + V
11.5%
–
S + MP + V
11.5%
–
S + MP
11.0%
–
M + KD + L + C
9.00%
–
S + C
7.50%
–
S + C + V
7.50%
–
M + KD + L
7.50%
–
S
7.00%
–
S + MP + C + KD
7.00%
–
S + C + L
5.50%
–
M + KD + SD
5.50%
–
M + KD
5.50%
–
S + M
4.50%
–
S + MP + C + L
4.00%
–
M + SD
4.00%
–
M
3.60%
–
S + MP + L
2.65%
–
S + V
2.10%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
