Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Polymarket traders put "OpenAI" at 54.5% on "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?". There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
OpenAI
–55%
TechVol -Total volume $12KLiquidity $17Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
OpenAI
54.5%
–
Anthropic
45.5%
–
Z.ai
0.70%
–
SpaceXAI
0.50%
–
DeepSeek
0.50%
–
Amazon
0.50%
–
ByteDance
0.50%
–
Thinky
0.50%
–
MiniMax
0.50%
–
StepFun
0.50%
–
Microsoft
0.50%
–
Meta
0.40%
–
Alibaba
0.40%
–
Mistral
0.40%
–
Google
0.25%
–
Nvidia
0.15%
–
Moonshot
0.05%
–
Baidu
0.05%
–
Xiaomi
0.05%
–
Meituan
0.05%
–
Tencent
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
