Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 72.5% on "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
▲0.573%
TechVol -Total volume $47KLiquidity $20Kin 19 days (Oct 31)
Current probability
Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
72.5%
▲0.5
OpenAI
20.5%
▼1.0
Google
5.95%
▼0.6
Tencent
0.65%
–
Moonshot
0.60%
–
Baidu
0.50%
–
SpaceXAI
0.45%
–
Alibaba
0.15%
–
Xiaomi
0.15%
–
Mistral
0.15%
–
Microsoft
0.15%
–
DeepSeek
0.10%
–
ByteDance
0.10%
–
StepFun
0.10%
–
Meta
0.05%
–
Z.ai
0.05%
–
Amazon
0.05%
–
Nvidia
0.05%
–
Thinky
0.05%
–
MiniMax
0.05%
–
Meituan
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Anthropic
OpenAI
Google
Tencent
Moonshot
Baidu
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-12 · y-axis %
