Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Most likely right now
Ireland
2.798%
PoliticsVol $277Total volume $622KLiquidity $25Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ireland
98.2%
2.7
Germany
39.5%
Saudi Arabia
29.5%
0.5
Japan
26.5%
1.5
Israel
21.5%
0.5
Portugal
21.0%
1.0
South Korea
15.5%
2.5
Italy
14.5%
Oman
13.5%
North Korea
11.0%
0.5
Venezuela
8.50%
2.0
Lebanon
8.20%
Canada
7.00%
Mexico
7.00%
Ukraine
7.00%
0.5
Syria
7.00%
0.5
Pakistan
5.50%
India
5.50%
0.5
Russia
5.10%
Belarus
5.00%
Taiwan
4.95%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.