Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Egypt" at 10.5% on "Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?". $959 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Egypt
–11%
PoliticsVol $959Total volume $81KLiquidity $136Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Egypt
10.5%
–
Yemen
8.50%
▼1.5
Bahrain
8.00%
▼0.5
Iraq
8.00%
▼0.5
Qatar
7.00%
▼2.5
Syria
6.05%
▲1.7
Jordan
5.60%
–
Kuwait
5.50%
▼8.5
Iran
4.05%
–
Morocco
3.25%
–
Somalia
3.10%
▼0.5
Algeria
2.05%
–
United Arab Emirates
1.80%
–
Lebanon
1.60%
–
Oman
0.70%
–
Sudan
0.55%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Egypt
Yemen
Bahrain
Iraq
Qatar
Syria
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-10-17 · y-axis %
