Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "Kuwait" at 23.5% on "Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. $277 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Kuwait
6.024%
PoliticsVol $277Total volume $51KLiquidity $7.3Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Kuwait
23.5%
6.0
United Arab Emirates
20.5%
13.0
Qatar
13.5%
0.5
Egypt
10.0%
1.5
Oman
10.0%
Syria
10.0%
1.5
Bahrain
9.00%
1.0
Jordan
9.00%
Somalia
8.50%
0.5
Iran
8.00%
0.5
Lebanon
8.00%
0.5
Algeria
7.50%
Iraq
7.50%
0.5
Sudan
6.50%
Yemen
6.00%
1.5
Morocco
5.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.