Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

Polymarket traders put "Israel" at 14.5% on "Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?". There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Israel
–14%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $2.3KLiquidity $12KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Israel
14.5%
–
Sudan
9.90%
▼0.6
Russia
6.50%
▲0.5
China
4.00%
▼0.5

Probability over time

Israel
Sudan
Russia
China
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.