Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?
Polymarket traders put "Israel" at 11.5% on "Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Israel
▼0.512%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $2.3KLiquidity $1.8KComments 1in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Israel
11.5%
▼0.5
Sudan
10.8%
▼0.9
China
10.0%
▲0.5
Russia
6.50%
–
Probability over time
Israel
Sudan
China
Russia
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
