Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Venezuela" at 14.5% on "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?". $958 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Venezuela
–14%
PoliticsVol $958Total volume $828KLiquidity $386Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Venezuela
14.5%
–
Lebanon
9.50%
–
Saudi Arabia
5.65%
–
Tunisia
5.50%
–
Pakistan
4.50%
–
Syria
4.50%
–
Iraq
4.30%
–
Indonesia
4.10%
–
Kuwait
3.60%
–
Cuba
3.35%
–
North Korea
3.15%
–
Afghanistan
2.75%
▼0.5
Qatar
2.50%
–
Malaysia
2.50%
–
Iran
2.45%
–
Bangladesh
1.25%
–
Probability over time
Venezuela
Lebanon
Saudi Arabia
Tunisia
Pakistan
Syria
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
