Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Most likely right now
Belgium
0.517%
PoliticsVol $50Total volume $758KLiquidity $78Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Belgium
16.5%
0.5
Finland
15.0%
0.5
New Zealand
12.5%
Italy
10.0%
0.5
The Netherlands
9.00%
Austria
6.95%
1.5
Japan
6.50%
Greece
5.65%
1.8
Germany
4.75%
Israel
4.30%
United States
2.20%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.