Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "The Netherlands" at 10.5% on "Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?". $68 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
The Netherlands
–11%
PoliticsVol $68Total volume $762KLiquidity $100Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
The Netherlands
10.5%
–
New Zealand
10.5%
–
Italy
10.0%
–
Japan
8.50%
–
Belgium
7.00%
–
Finland
7.00%
▲0.5
United States
6.60%
–
Greece
5.80%
▼1.1
Germany
4.55%
–
Austria
4.10%
–
Israel
4.00%
–
Probability over time
The Netherlands
New Zealand
Italy
Japan
Belgium
Finland
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
