Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Vietnam" at 13.1% on "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?". Unchanged from yesterday. $49 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 17 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Vietnam
–13%
PoliticsVol $49Total volume $401KLiquidity $148Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Vietnam
13.1%
–
Indonesia
12.5%
▼0.5
Canada
11.5%
–
Mexico
11.5%
▼2.5
Israel
11.5%
▼0.5
India
11.0%
▼0.5
United Kingdom
10.5%
▲0.5
Australia
9.50%
▼0.5
Pakistan
9.00%
–
South Korea
8.50%
–
Russia
8.50%
–
Taiwan
8.20%
–
South Africa
8.00%
–
Japan
7.70%
▼2.8
European Union
5.90%
–
Brazil
5.75%
▼0.7
Argentina
5.50%
–

Probability over time

Vietnam
Indonesia
Canada
Mexico
Israel
India
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.