Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Most likely right now
Canada
6.519%
PoliticsVol $545Total volume $386KLiquidity $176Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Canada
19.0%
6.5
India
17.5%
Israel
16.0%
0.5
Mexico
14.5%
Indonesia
13.5%
Vietnam
13.5%
0.5
Taiwan
13.2%
South Africa
13.0%
Australia
12.5%
Argentina
12.0%
United Kingdom
10.5%
2.0
Pakistan
9.50%
European Union
8.55%
0.9
Brazil
8.55%
0.9
Japan
8.50%
South Korea
7.00%
Russia
6.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.