Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Most likely right now

Somaliland

–16%

PoliticsVol $11Total volume $1.6MLiquidity $187Kin 4 months (Dec 31)

Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%

Somaliland

16.0%

–

Lebanon

8.50%

–

Azerbaijan

7.50%

–

Syria

6.75%

–

Saudi Arabia

6.50%

–

Egypt

6.10%

–

Jordan

5.50%

–

Kuwait

5.50%

–

Qatar

4.40%

–

Oman

4.35%

–

Pakistan

4.00%

–

Turkey

2.25%

▼0.7

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.