Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Somaliland" at 16.5% on "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $3.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Somaliland
▼1.517%
PoliticsVol $3.6KTotal volume $1.7MLiquidity $202Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Somaliland
16.5%
▼1.5
Jordan
7.50%
▼1.5
Kuwait
7.50%
–
Lebanon
6.50%
–
Egypt
5.75%
–
Qatar
5.60%
▼0.5
Oman
4.65%
–
Syria
4.60%
–
Saudi Arabia
4.50%
–
Turkey
3.85%
–
Pakistan
2.90%
–
Azerbaijan
1.85%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Somaliland
Jordan
Kuwait
Lebanon
Egypt
Qatar
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
