Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
Polymarket traders put "No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026" at 82.0% on "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $2.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 1.
Most likely right now
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
▼1.582%
PoliticsVol $2.8KTotal volume $551KLiquidity $192KComments 2in 4 months (Feb 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
82.0%
▼1.5
December
7.30%
–
November
5.05%
–
October
2.95%
–
Probability over time
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
December
November
October
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
